Anavex Life Sciences Corp. (OTCBB: AVXL)

 

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Anavex Life Sciences Corp. (OTCBB: AVXL)

Website: www.anavex.com

Read our report on Anavex Life Sciences Corp. (OTCBB: AVXL)

Anavex Life Sciences Corp. (OTCBB: AVXL) is utilizing its proprietary SIGMACEPTOR™ Discovery Platform to discover and develop new drugs for the treatment of Central Nervous System (CNS) diseases and cancer.

The Anavex portfolio comprises novel, wholly owned sigma receptor agonists and antagonists in clinical and preclinical stages that target neurodegenerative diseases and cancer. AVXL’s lead drug candidate for Alzheimer’s Disease, ANAVEX 2-73, has successfully completed a Phase 1 single ascending dose (SAD) clinical trial. Results regarding the compound’s safety profile are very encouraging.

AVXL has also started scale-up manufacturing of ANAVEX 1-41, its second lead compound, targeting depression and Alzheimer’s Disease.

In our opinion, with sufficient quantities of ANAVEX 1-41 in hand, AVXL will be in a position to advance the program and begin preclinical studies on large animals in the near term. Another three compounds (for malignant melanoma, prostatic cancer and epilepsy) will complete preclinical testing soon. Additionally, further compounds, which target conditions such as stroke, depression and neuropathic pain, as well as various types of cancer, are in preclinical development and will potentially enter clinical trials over the following years.

We also believe that AVXL utilizes an innovative and radically different approach, which in Alzheimer’s Disease emphasizes tackling some of the potential upstream causes of Alzheimer’s Disease and may be disease-modifying, unlike the currently available symptomatic-only treatments.

AVXL’s work is led by a strong, proven Board of Directors and management team and supported by a highly experienced Scientific Advisory Board and skilled biochemists, medicinal chemists, pharmacologists, toxicologists and molecular biologists, who work in collaboration with leading research and academic institutions. In our opinion, AVXL is much further along than is reflected by its stock price.

 Robust Drug Pipeline

Anavex’s proprietary SIGMACEPTOR™ Discovery Platform has resulted in, and continues to generate, small molecule drug candidates with unique modes of action targeting sigma receptors in many neurological diseases (such as Alzheimer’s Disease, depression, epilepsy) and cancer. When bound by Anavex’s specifically designed compounds, sigma receptors influence the functioning of multiple biochemical signals that are involved in the pathogenesis (origin or development) of a disease.

With its SIGMACEPTOR™-N program, Anavex is focused on developing the first of a new class of disease-modifying treatments for CNS and neurological diseases.

AVXL’s lead Alzheimer’s Disease drug candidate is ANAVEX 2-73. This compound has preclinical pharmacological, behavioral and histological evidence as a potentially effective antiamnesic, neuroprotective (i.e. protects nerve cells from degeneration or death) and anti-depressive agent, due to its potent affinity for sigma-1 receptors and moderate affinities for M1-4 muscarinic receptors. ANAVEX 19-144 is AVXL’s lead drug candidate for the potential treatment of epilepsy.

Preclinical data reveals that these compounds exhibit significant anti-amnesic, neuroprotective and anticonvulsant properties in a variety of in vitro systems and specialized animal models. These activities involve sigma-1, muscarinic and NMDA receptor components, in addition to positively impacting ion channels, indicating a unique mode of action.

During animal studies in epilepsy, ANAVEX 19-144 has shown it may help control seizures and the epileptogenesis process. Moreover, its neuroprotective properties may prevent the process that causes longterm damage to tissue and cells as well as biochemical and physiological alterations in the brain resulting from seizures. AVXL has also reported promising

preclinical developments with ANAVEX 1-41, a sigma-1 receptor agonist and a lead compound to treat depression. It may also be a potential back-up compound to ANAVEX 2-73 for Alzheimer’s Disease. Preclinical tests revealed significant neuroprotective benefits through the prevention of endoplasmic reticulum stress, mitochondrial stress and oxidative stress, which damage and destroys cells and may be involved in primary causes of Alzheimer’s Disease.

In addition, ANAVEX 1-41 prevented the expression of caspase-3 in animal models. Caspase-3 is an enzyme that plays a key role in apoptosis (programmed cell death) and in the loss of cells in the hippocampus, the part of the brain that regulates learning, emotion and memory. These activities involve both muscarinic and sigma-1 receptor systems. Potentially, ANAVEX 1-41 may offer disease-modifying options that reverse memory and learning deficits and protect nerve cells from death through its anti-amnesic and neuroprotective actions, as well as anti-depressive effects.

Both ANAVEX 2-73 and ANAVEX 1-41 may slow the progression of Alzheimer’s Disease and potentially improve the quality of life of those impacted by the disease.

The SIGMACEPTOR™-C program leverages some unique properties of sigma receptor compounds, which allows Anavex to create the first of a new class of drug candidates designed to combat various types of solid cancers. Sigma receptors are highly expressed in different tumor cell types and binding by sigma receptor binding

compounds may induce selective apoptosis.

In addition, through tumor cell membrane reorganization and interactions with ion channels, AVXL’s cancer drug candidates may play an important role in inhibiting the processes of metastasis (spreading of cancer cells from the original site to other parts of the body), angiogenesis (the formation of new blood vessels) and tumor cell proliferation.

ANAVEX 1079, ANAVEX 1007 and ANAVEX 1519 are AVXL’s drug candidates for the treatment of melanoma and prostate cancers. These are low molecular weight, synthetic compounds exhibiting high (nanomolar) affinity for sigma-1 and

moderate (micromolar) affinity for sigma-2 receptors and sodium channels. In advanced preclinical studies, these compounds have revealed anti-tumor potential with no toxic side effects to date in animal models. They have also been shown to selectively kill human cancer cells in xenograft models without affecting normal, healthy cells and significantly suppressed tumor growth in immune-deficient mice. These results have been reported in several scientific publications.

ANAVEX 1066 is AVXL’s novel drug candidate for the potential treatment of pancreatic and prostate cancers and neuropathic pain. Numerous additional compounds are currently in the early discovery and lead optimization stages of Anavex’s SIGMACEPTOR™-N and SIGMACEPTOR™-C programs.

Potential Market

The financial potential of compounds that successfully tackle these conditions is substantial. IMS Health estimates that the annual sales in the markets for drugs that combat Alzheimer’s Disease, epilepsy and depression are projected to reach $8 billion, $13 billion, and $14 billion respectively in 2012. The market for cancer drugs will reach $75-$80 billion annually by 2012, almost double the 2007 value of $41 billion, according to the 2008 IMS Global Oncology Forecast.

Market Position

AVXL’s 11,000-square-foot research laboratory in Athens, Greece is the home base for a core team of researchers with expertise in medicinal chemistry, molecular biology, biochemistry, toxicology and pharmacology. In addition, Anavex boasts a network of strategic collaborations with ABX-CRO, Syntagon, Cerep, Oncodesign, Eurogenet Laboratories, FORENAP Pharma EURL, Amylgen SAS and leading academic institutions, such as Université Montpellier, Université Nice and Sophia Antipolis in France. These collaborations make it possible for Anavex to outsource parts of its R&D process to drive capital efficiency while maintaining control of its research initiatives and intellectual property.

Biopharmaceuticals Sector

The global pharmaceutical market continues to experience high growth. Significant R&D efforts and innovative new treatments from smaller biotech companies are fuelling innovation for big pharmaceutical firms and for the market in general.

The global market for pharmaceuticals is expected to reach $1.1 trillion in 2014, according to a report published in April 2010 by IMS Health. Drug companies have enjoyed extremely high returns on investment capital in recent years as well as a favorable company survivorship rate compared with many other industries, notes investment author and economist Larry MacDonald. “Demographic trends suggest the need for growth in the pharmaceutical sector to support future medical needs – particularly in Anavex’s areas of focus. In North America, the aging of the “baby boom” generation is already enhancing the demand for new, diseasemodifying treatments for serious age-related diseases such as Alzheimer’s and cancer. Meanwhile, the rise of new middle class populations in emerging markets, such as China, India, Russia and Brazil, has created a vast new international market for the best medications available. In our opinion, companies that can help to satisfy needs to meet the treatments required by these populations will fare very well in the stock market.

Alzheimer’s Disease

According to the Alzheimer’s Association, by 2030, it is estimated one out of eight people over age 65 will have  ALZHEIMER’S DISEASE.and nearly 50% of those over 85 will be affected. Now it is critical for researchers, industry drug developers and regulators to work together in order to bring disease modifying therapies for Alzheimer’s Disease to market. According to a study of the University of Connecticut, the successful development of disease modifying drugs for Alzheimer’s Disease could potentially save the U.S. healthcare system an estimated $4 trillion.

Alzheimer’s Disease is a healthcare system ‘time-bomb.’ Medications today only treat the symptoms, not having the ability to stop the onset nor progression of the disease. Meanwhile, the majority of Alzheimer’s Disease treatments in development are focused on reducing or dissolving amyloid-beta plaques.

There have been many well-publicized failures of those potential amyloid removal therapies, including Neurochem’s Alzamed, Myriad Genetics’ Flurizan and Lilly’s semagacestat. Vaccines that clear amyloid-beta plaques, such as Wyeth/Elan’s AN-1792, have also failed to impact the disease, while tau therapy is considered by many to be not reproducible and fails to impact the disease. Monoclonal antibodies have also failed to show compelling and statistically significant benefit in Phase 2 studies across the range of Alzheimer’s patients.

Recently, Medivation/Pfizer’s  Dimebon, an off-patent antihistamine, failed in Phase 3 clinical trials. While approximately 50 novel compounds are being studied, most are in big pharma pipelines or are tied up under existing partnership agreements. Typically, no small companies with compounds that have successfully cleared

Phase 2 clinical trials are left unpartnered with big pharma. Anavex was recognized in January 2011 by the independent publication Alzheimer’s Weekly as ‘the most promising drug in Alzheimer’s disease’ after their analysis of more than 100 studies and over 10,000 articles.

Epilepsy Treatment

It is estimated that 50 million people are living with epilepsy worldwide, according to the International Bureau for Epilepsy. New drugs that could potentially modify the onset and progression of epilepsy are needed and may have blockbuster potential. Such drugs would have a novel mode of action that combines anti-amnesic, anxiolytic and neuroprotective properties, as well as excellent safety and tolerability profiles. Anavex is currently developing drug candidates seeking to deliver these properties.

Cancer

Cancer is a leading cause of death around the world, according to the World Health Organization. Cases of cancer doubled globally between 1975 and 2000, will double again by 2020, and will nearly triple by 2030, says the report.

There were an estimated 12 million new cancer diagnoses and more than seven million deaths worldwide this year. The projected numbers for 2030 are 20 to 26 million new diagnoses and 13 to 17 million deaths. Currently available treatments are not accessible nor effective for many patients, and have limited impact on survival for patients with metastatic disease. New treatments with novel mechanisms of action that can overcome resistance mechanisms, inhibit tumor cell proliferation, and trigger tumor cell death could offer greater therapeutic benefit and improved survival. The Anavex program is seeking to deliver such profiles within its drug candidates. Given the substantial unmet need in cancer, such agents may have the potential to become blockbusters.

Board and Management

Harvey Lalach—President, Secretary and Director: Mr. Lalach is a senior-level executive with over 24 years of experience. A co-founder of Anavex Life Sciences Corp., he has served as President, Secretary and Director since AVXL’s inception in 2007. He played an instrumental role in the development and successful growth of numerous start-up ventures. He has spent many years focused on the corporate governance and management of public companies, serving in both Director and Officer capacities. He has vast experience in corporate finance activities and strategic initiatives, including several M&A transactions and raising equity in North America and Europe.

George Tidmarsh, MD, PhD—Executive Director: Dr. Tidmarsh has more than 20 years of experience and brings to Anavex a significant track record in clinical trials, FDA drug approvals and corporate growth. He has founded several successful companies including Horizon Therapeutics (now Horizon Pharma) (NASDAQ: HZNP). From 2005 through 2008 Dr. Tidmarsh served as Horizon’s Chief Executive Officer, successfully completing four Phase 1 and two large Phase 3 trials, including the registration trials for Duexa, now FDA approved.

Prior to Horizon, Dr. Tidmarsh founded Threshold Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: THLD) where he served as AVXL’s President and as a Director from 2001 to 2006. Most recently, Dr. Tidmarsh served as Chief Scientific Officer at Spectrum Pharmaceuticals as a part of their acquisition of Metronome Therapeutics, a novel cancer drug development company that Dr. Tidmarsh founded in 2007. In addition, Dr. Tidmarsh’s background includes various positions at Coulter Pharmaceuticals, including Chief Medical Officer, and SEQQUS where he played a key role in the approval of Doxil. He has also held scientific and clinical positions at Gilead Sciences and SyStemix.

Dr. Tidmarsh has published 25 peer-reviewed articles in leading journals and authored 15 U.S. patents. He received his Bachelor of Science, M.D., and Ph.D. from Stanford University, where he also completed Residency and Fellowship training. In addition, Dr. Tidmarsh is currently an Associate Professor of Pediatrics and Neonatology at Stanford University School of Medicine.

Sean Lowry—Director: Since 2001, Mr. Lowry has been president of Wm. Lowry Consulting, a management consulting company. He has been a partner and portfolio manager in Gulfstream Ventures, a venture capital firm, since 2006. He has served as an officer and director of several private companies, and was director of investor relations for the publicly traded Workbrain Inc. between 2004 and 2006. He has financial oversight responsibilities.  

Robert Chisholm—Director: A finance and administration executive with more than 25 years of experience, Robert Chisholm has significant expertise in corporate finance, strategic business initiatives and growth-oriented public companies. Mr. Chisholm is currently an officer and partner of Emprise Capital Corp, a private company focused on advising portfolio companies on managing finances, including development and implementation of comprehensive budgeting processes, public market listings and oversight of contract negotiations. He is CFO and a director of Savary Capital Corp., Windamere Ventures Ltd. (formerly Advanced Vision Systems Corp.) and Brookwater Ventures. Mr. Chisholm is also a member of the Board of Directors for Seymour Ventures.

Alexandre Vamvakides, Ph.D.—Scientific Founder, Chief Scientific Officer, and Chairman of the Scientific Advisory Board.: Dr. Vamvakides has spent 30 years in research, focusing on the therapeutic/pharmacological areas of anti-neurodegenerative, antiepileptic and anti-depressive molecules. The author of more than 80 scientific papers, he has worked at the Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale (INSERM), the University of Athens, Ciba-Geigy (now Novartis), Sanofi and many other research laboratories throughout Europe, for the discovery and development of new concepts in the therapeutic areas of CNS, oncology, as well as anti-inflammatory diseases.

Tangui Nicolas Maurice, Ph.D.—Scientific Advisory Board: Dr. Maurice has spent 15 years in the field of neurosciences, including behavioral and molecular neuropharmacology, sigma receptors, neuropeptides, neurosteroids, neurotrophic factors, normal pathological aging models for Alzheimer’s and related disorders, and behavioral phenotyping of rodent models. He is a researcher at the Institut national de la santé et de la recherche médicale (INSERM) U710 at Montpellier. He has also held research positions at the Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), INSERM U336, the department of neuropsychopharmacology and hospital pharmacy at Meijo University (Nagoya, Japan), and Jouveinal Research Institute (Fresnes, France).

Paul Aisen, MD—Scientific Advisory Board – Clinical Expert: Dr. Aisen is a leading clinician and researcher in Alzheimer’s disease clinical trials and is on the faculty of the University of California, San Diego School of Medicine’s Department of Neurosciences. Since 2007, he has been Director of the Alzheimer’s Disease Cooperative Study, funded by the National Institute on Aging to develop assessment instruments and conduct clinical trials. He is Associate Editor of Alzheimer’s Research and Therapy, and sits on the editorial board of BMC Medicine. He has published more than 180 peer-reviewed papers.

Rachelle Doody, MD, PhD—Scientific Advisory Board – Clinical Expert: Dr. Doody is the Effie Marie Cain Chair in Alzheimer’s Disease Research and Professor of Neurology at Baylor College of Medicine, where she directs the Alzheimer’s Disease and Memory Disorders Center (ADMDC), which was the lead developer of the most widely prescribed Alzheimer’s disease drug worldwide. She has published over 135 original articles, receiving multiple research grants. She participates in a wide range of collaborative efforts and boards, including Steering Committees.

Jeffrey Cummings, MD—Scientific Advisory Board – Clinical Expert: Dr. Cummings is Professor of Neurotherapeutics and Drug Development in the Neurological Institute, Cleveland Clinic. He is Director of the Cleveland Clinic Lou Ruvo Center for Brain Health, Las Vegas, Nevada and Ohio. He has expertise in neuropsychiatric assessment and clinical trials. He has authored more than 500 peer-reviewed papers and 30 books on AD, neuropsychiatry and clinical trials. He is a member of many organizations, including the Alzheimer’s Disease Cooperative Study.

Christopher Shackleton, MD—Scientific Advisory Board – Advisor: Dr. Shackleton is a prominent, uniquely qualified physician and surgeon, clinical investigator, information technologist, and corporate finance and healthcare solutions consultant. He holds triple specialist credentials in medical and surgical disciplines. He has a strong publication record and is a renowned innovator, pioneer and leader in the development and deployment of new clinical techniques and treatment modalities.

Obtaining medical education and training from the Universities of British Columbia, Toronto and Harvard, he also studied corporate finance, financial markets and derivatives at The London School of Economics, reaching the rank of full professor at the University of Los Angeles (UCLA). He is also on the Board of Trustees of the Fraser Institute.

Summary

Opportunities in the stock market are not always so clear cut and certainly do not happen often. In our opinion, timing is everything in the biotech industry. Those who get in earliest often reap the biggest rewards. AVXL's management has continued to develop and advance its lead drug ANAVEX 2-73 to the point where it is ready for the ever important Phase 1 trials. The company's capital structure has remained very tight with only 27.2 million shares outstanding and roughly 19.5 million in the float. Anavex's market cap is exceptionally small in respect to many other junior biotech's at or near the same stage of development. With roughly a $45 million market cap AVXL could be an easy acquisition target for a company like Pfizer or Merck. In our opinion, investors have a tremendous opportunity to make a major stock market score with AVXL.

 

OTCBB Symbol: AVXL

Current Price: $1.70

Shares Outstanding: 27.2 million

Public Float: 19.5 million

Market Cap: $45 million

52 Week Trading Range:

52-Week Low: $1.05

52-Week High: $4.29

Corporate Offices:

50 Harrison Street

Suite 315A

Hoboken, NJ 07030

Phone: 416-489-0092

Website: www.anavex.com


AVXL has a Strong Pipeline of 30+ novel candidate drugs that address urgent unmet medical needs for treating major      devastating diseases including Alzheimer’s Disease, epilepsy, depression, stroke, neuropathic pain and other types of cancer.


 

Anavex is led by a seasoned Board and management team and has access to leading scientists and clinicians through its Scientific  Advisory Board.